Track Record & Methodology

What counts as a win, a loss, or excluded entirely

• Hit target — price reached the signal's stated target before hitting its stop-loss or expiring. Counted as a win.
• Hit stop — price reached the signal's stated stop-loss first. Counted as a loss.
• Expired — the signal's time horizon passed without hitting either target or stop. Not a win, but included in the denominator so a pile of expired signals can't be hidden to inflate the rate.
• Left zone / unverifiable — the signal never validly entered its stated entry zone, or its outcome couldn't be confirmed against real market data. Excluded entirely — neither represents a resolved thesis.

Manual signals are excluded, always

Any signal created or edited by hand in Holoture's admin panel is flagged internally and excluded from every public statistic, including this page and the homepage's outcomes strip. A hand-picked or hand-edited signal is not algorithm output, and counting one toward the published win rate would misrepresent what the track record is meant to prove. Manual-signal outcomes are still tracked — just separately, and never published.

Why only swing and long-term signals are counted here

The published win rate covers swing and long-term timeframe signals specifically, not every signal type Holoture generates. Intraday, momentum, and premarket/after-hours signals are fundamentally different risk profiles — shorter holding periods, tighter stops, and (for momentum specifically) a much higher expected failure rate by design, since they're chasing a move already in progress. Blending those into one number with swing/long-term signals would misrepresent both.

The 25-signal floor

If fewer than 25 signals in this category have closed, no win rate is shown at all — on this page or the homepage. A win rate built from a handful of trades is not a meaningful statistic, and showing one anyway would create false confidence. An honest empty state is better than a misleading number.